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Macro event book

For each major release we publish numbered scenarios before the print, then score ourselves against real price action after it — on the same page.

Two channels are equally tied to Gold (XAU/USD): USD strength (-0.49) and Haven / fear (-0.45) · next fork at US CPI

44.9%

of our event calls went the right way

22 correct / 49 calls, across 29 scored releases

22 right · 6 wrong · 21 did not move enough to count as a direction

Calendar & scoring

Upcoming reads from the nearest date; Scored reads from the most recent. (UTC)

Upcoming

  1. October 2026
  2. 14US CPIin 1 d
  3. 15US PPIin 2 d
  4. 15US core retail salesin 2 d
  5. 28FOMC (Fed)in 15 d
  6. 29US core PCEin 16 d
  7. 29ECBin 16 d
  8. 29US GDP (advance)in 16 d
  9. 30Bank of Japanin 17 d

Scored

  1. October 2026
  2. 08FOMC (Fed)

    gold SIDEWAYS · EUR BEARISH

    1/2 correct

  3. 07FOMC (Fed)

    gold BEARISH · EUR BEARISH

    0/2 correct

  4. 05US ISM services PMI

    BTC SIDEWAYS

    1/1 correct

  5. 02US non-farm payrolls

    EUR SIDEWAYS · BTC SIDEWAYS

    1/2 correct

  6. 02Eurozone flash CPI

    EUR BEARISH

    0/1 correct

  7. 01FOMC (Fed)

    gold BEARISH · EUR BEARISH

    1/2 correct

  8. September 2026
  9. 30FOMC (Fed)

    EUR SIDEWAYS

    1/1 correct

  10. 30US core PCE

    EUR SIDEWAYS

    1/1 correct

Numbered scenarios go up about a day before each release. Periods outside the confirmed week show a DATE only, no time yet.

Showing the 8 most recent of 30 recorded releases.

Other event groups

Before every Fed · ECB · CPI print, the bot sends you scenarios with numeric thresholds — before the number lands. Then we score ourselves against real price.

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